Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.020091 0.022326 0.024561 0.026955 0.029443 0.031946 0.034649
2025-02-16 0.015794 0.019331 0.022998 0.027051 0.031377 0.035833 0.040747
2025-02-23 0.012755 0.017079 0.021708 0.026955 0.032672 0.038659 0.045354
2025-03-02 0.010354 0.015178 0.020505 0.026680 0.033526 0.040790 0.049002
2025-03-09 0.008523 0.013696 0.019584 0.026549 0.034384 0.042791 0.052377
2025-03-16 0.006707 0.012031 0.018303 0.025882 0.034536 0.043920 0.054709
2025-03-23 0.005572 0.011073 0.017754 0.025969 0.035459 0.045834 0.057834
2025-03-30 0.004379 0.009904 0.016859 0.025580 0.035781 0.047027 0.060115
2025-04-06 0.003232 0.008643 0.015760 0.024880 0.035688 0.047707 0.061782
2025-04-13 0.002076 0.007169 0.014283 0.023647 0.034917 0.047573 0.062497
2025-04-20 0.001682 0.006809 0.014220 0.024109 0.036102 0.049634 0.065642
2025-04-27 0.001094 0.005985 0.013477 0.023690 0.036217 0.050448 0.067364
2025-05-04 0.000453 0.004851 0.012316 0.022828 0.035933 0.050966 0.068949
2025-05-11 0.000173 0.004297 0.011961 0.023011 0.036944 0.053028 0.072349
2025-05-18 0.000008 0.003672 0.011434 0.022936 0.037618 0.054682 0.075273
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003035 0.010806 0.022682 0.038040 0.056019 0.077809
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002521 0.010304 0.022560 0.038598 0.057490 0.080479
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001883 0.009476 0.021937 0.038498 0.058161 0.082204
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001559 0.009169 0.022018 0.039264 0.059840 0.085076
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001141 0.008577 0.021656 0.039444 0.060804 0.087103
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000715 0.007818 0.021003 0.039223 0.061267 0.088528
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000292 0.006778 0.019856 0.038323 0.060884 0.088945
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000221 0.006769 0.020286 0.039476 0.062979 0.092251